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Is PredictWind Accurate at Your Spot? How to Check

A cruising sailboat heeling under sail on open water with whitecaps building
Photo: CGP Grey · CC BY 2.0 via Wikimedia Commons

Evaluate PredictWind against the conditions and decisions that matter to you. A forecast that is useful for a passage may not match a small sheltered launch exactly. There is no app-wide percentage that resolves that difference.

This page does not claim a controlled test of PredictWind’s models. Earlier references to an unpublished Windy test have been removed; they cannot establish PredictWind’s performance.

Define the comparison before you start

Choose one question: the timing of a wind shift, average wind at a location, gusts, or whether a planned wind range was reached. Record the chosen model, the time you saved the forecast and its target hour.

If you compare with another app, check those inputs there too. A newer forecast is not the same test as one saved the previous day. Two displays of the same underlying model are not independent evidence.

Keep a small observation log

Field What to record
Forecast Model, issue or saved time, target hour
Wind Predicted and observed average speed in the same units
Gusts Record separately from average wind
Direction Predicted and observed bearing
Observation Station location, exposure and timestamp
Notes Missing data and conditions the station may not represent

Start with several days and retain both misses and close matches. Do not fill in absent observations. If you publish a result, include the period, sample count and matching rules so readers can assess it.

Use an observation appropriate to the question

A shore sensor can be useful for a nearby spot but may not represent open-water conditions. Exposure, land effects and distance matter. Evaluate a route using the information appropriate to that route rather than extrapolating a single beach reading.

For a local comparison method, see our forecast accuracy guide. Use the wind-speed converter if the two sources use different units.

Decide whether the product fits the job

Consult PredictWind’s current product information for the models and planning features available in each plan. Identify the capability you need before deciding whether a subscription is worthwhile.

For a software comparison, read PredictWind vs Windy. If the remaining task is noticing local measured wind, a WindUp station alarm can sit alongside your planning tools. It is not a replacement for passage planning or a guarantee of local conditions.

Common questions

Is PredictWind always more accurate than Windy?
No universal result follows from the app names. Compare the selected models, forecast issue times and target hours for your own location.
How do I check forecast accuracy locally?
Save forecasts before the target hour, then match them to representative station observations. Keep units, average wind and gusts consistent and retain missing-data notes.
Can a shore station validate an offshore forecast?
It describes the sensor’s location and exposure. Do not assume a shore reading represents conditions along an offshore route.

Try WindUp. The alarm's free.

Choose your station, set your wind range, and let a live wind alarm tell you when its readings match.

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Free wind alarm · iOS & Android · Optional Pro features